{"id":3465,"date":"2023-04-21T14:37:33","date_gmt":"2023-04-21T02:37:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.onnaturesedge.co.nz\/tuatapere\/?p=3465"},"modified":"2023-04-21T14:37:33","modified_gmt":"2023-04-21T02:37:33","slug":"community-outlook-the-big-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.onnaturesedge.co.nz\/tuatapere\/community-outlook-the-big-one\/","title":{"rendered":"Community Outlook: The Big One"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Big One<\/h3>\n

In late March, Alice Lake-Hammond from Alpine Fault Magnitude 8<\/em> (AF8), presented a public talk on what the impacts of a large Alpine Fault earthquake might look like in our region. This was well attended and was a very informative presentation. AF8 are hoping to present these once or twice a year, so if you missed it this time, I would highly recommend attending next time.<\/p>\n

While we can\u2019t predict earthquakes, scientific research indicates there is a 75% probability of an Alpine Fault earthquake occurring in the next 50 years, and there is a 4 out of 5 chance that it will be a magnitude 8+ event. This is likely to have major short and long-term impacts.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

This is not meant to be alarmist, but we need to recognise the risk and ensure we are prepared for such an event.<\/p>\n

So, what would it look like in our region, if a magnitude 8+ event were to occur along the Alpine Fault?
\nThe map below predicts that we are in one of the safer<\/em> areas, however that doesn’t mean we won’t be affected.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

AF8 Roadshow Locations<\/p><\/div>\n

For some perspective of what a magnitude 8+ earthquake is – consider that the 2010 Christchurch earthquakes were around magnitude 6.2-6.3. A magnitude 8 earthquake could be 500 times stronger! We would likely feel considerable shaking<\/em> due to the energy emanating out along the path of the Alpine Fault. This shaking could continue for up to two minutes. There would likely be at least two magnitude 7 aftershocks.<\/p>\n

Southland could experience some occurrences of liquefaction, particularly around Invercargill, land slides and service outages for example; electricity, water, roads, and communications. There would likely be a period of disruption to services lasting from 30 days to 6 months. Since the areas most impacted to the north would need the major response, we would be somewhat isolated. Many of our problems would not likely be addressed for a significant amount of time. Road outages in the north of the South Island would create obvious difficulties getting food and resource supplies to us in the south.<\/p>\n

What can we do? Be prepared. Ensure we have the resilience to survive in isolation for a period of time. Make preparations around the home for such an event and ensure our families, neighbours, and friends have a plan to follow.<\/p>\n

More detail can be found on the AF8<\/strong> website: af8.org.nz<\/a>.
\nInformation about being prepared for an emergency can be found on the Get Ready<\/strong> website: getready.govt.nz<\/a>.
\nLocal details can be found on the Emergency Management Southland<\/strong> website: cdsouthland.nz<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Big One In late March, Alice Lake-Hammond from Alpine Fault Magnitude 8 (AF8), presented a public talk on what the impacts of a large Alpine Fault earthquake might look like in our region. This was well attended and was...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3306,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-community_information","category-tuatapere"],"yoast_head":"\nCommunity Outlook: The Big One » On Natures Edge - Tuatapere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Community Outlook: The Big One - Alpine Fault Magnitude 8+ Earthquake and preparedness.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.onnaturesedge.co.nz\/tuatapere\/community-outlook-the-big-one\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Community Outlook: The Big One » On Natures Edge - 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